Analyses & Projects
Every Cap Crunch analysis, sorted the way the newsletter is: strategy, teams and contracts.
Highlighted analyses
STRATEGY CRUNCH · MAR 14
A Rare Cap Conundrum
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STRATEGY CRUNCH · JUL 18
The Tipping Point
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CONTRACT OUTLOOK · JUN 19
Boards, Banners, and the 2nd Apron
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STRATEGY CRUNCH · FEB 9
The Secondary Star Cap Squeeze
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TEAM OUTLOOK · JUN 22
After the Parade
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STRATEGY CRUNCH · APR 7
Combo Guards, Unlocking the Value
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Strategy Crunches
Frameworks for how front offices should play the Cap, the trade market and the draft.
22 PUBLISHED
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STRATEGY CRUNCHOCT 27
The Aftermarket
The NBA’s Second Draft
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STRATEGY CRUNCHJUL 18
The Tipping Point
The Concept of Selling High and Maximizing Value
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STRATEGY CRUNCHJUN 30
Brown at the Brink
A Jaylen Brown Trade Outlook
BOS
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STRATEGY CRUNCHMAY 27
Partially Protected
The Harden situation and the growing value of non-guaranteed money
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STRATEGY CRUNCHAPR 7
Combo Guards, Unlocking the Value
Versatility, defense, and spacing: a formula for winning
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STRATEGY CRUNCHMAR 27
Options Matter
How Optionality Has Become a Core NBA Currency
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STRATEGY CRUNCHMAR 9
The Pressures of the Stretch Run
The Orlando Magic and the Houston Rockets: teams on the clock
ORL
HOU
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STRATEGY CRUNCHFEB 27
The Economics of the Stretch Run
Peyton Watson, Jalen Duren, and the price of development
DEN
DET
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STRATEGY CRUNCHFEB 19
Pre-Agency: February is the New July
How teams are using the Trade Deadline as an early Free Agency window
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Team Outlooks
Team-by-team deep dives: where the books stand and what the next move should be.
25 PUBLISHED
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TEAM OUTLOOKJUN 22
After the Parade
A New York Knicks 2026-27 Offseason Outlook
NYK
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TEAM OUTLOOKJUN 16
Hawks Rising
An Atlanta Hawks 2026-27 Offseason Outlook
ATL
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TEAM OUTLOOKMAY 31
Trusting the Process… Again
A Philadelphia 76ers 2026-27 Offseason Outlook
PHI
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TEAM OUTLOOKMAY 11
The Buzz Around Charlotte
A Charlotte Hornets 2026-27 Offseason Outlook
CHA
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TEAM OUTLOOKMAY 2
Blazing the Path Forward
A Portland Trail Blazers 2026-27 Offseason Outlook
POR
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TEAM OUTLOOKAPR 24
Planting the Flagg
A Dallas Mavericks 2026-27 Offseason Outlook
DAL
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TEAM OUTLOOKJAN 30
A New York Knicks 2025-26 Trade Deadline Outlook: All Roads Lead to Giannis
Part 4 of a Cap Crunch and Knicks Film School Collab
NYK
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TEAM OUTLOOKJAN 23
A New York Knicks 2025-26 Trade Deadline Outlook: An Inflection Point
Part 3 of a Cap Crunch and Knicks Film School Collab
NYK
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TEAM OUTLOOKJAN 12
A New York Knicks 2025-26 Trade Deadline Outlook: The Wizards’ Pick
Part 2.5 of a Cap Crunch and Knicks Film School Collab
NYK
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Contract Outlooks
What a deal is worth, what it should cost and how it ages, measured as a share of the Cap.
19 PUBLISHED
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CONTRACT OUTLOOKOCT 15
Bargaining for Barrett
An RJ Barrett Extension Outlook
TOR
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CONTRACT OUTLOOKOCT 6
Betting on Black
An Anthony Black Extension Outlook
ORL
+ CAPSULE
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CONTRACT OUTLOOKSEP 29
When Success Hits the Cap
A Miles McBride Extension Outlook
NYK
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CONTRACT OUTLOOKSEP 21
Weathering the Storm
A Cason Wallace Extension Outlook
OKC
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CONTRACT OUTLOOKJUN 19
Boards, Banners, and the 2nd Apron
A Mitchell Robinson UFA Outlook
NYK
+ CAPSULE
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CONTRACT OUTLOOKJUN 5
From Minimum to Market
A Collin Gillespie UFA Outlook
PHX
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CONTRACT OUTLOOKMAY 19
Detroit’s Duren Dilemma
A Jalen Duren RFA Outlook
DET
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CONTRACT OUTLOOKMAR 14
A Rare Cap Conundrum
The Arenas Provision and the Knicks’ Mo Diawara Dilemma
NYK
+ CAPSULE
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CONTRACT OUTLOOKOCT 19, 2025
The Hidden Star in Houston: A Tari Eason Extension Outlook
HOU
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