The Cap Crunch
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Situations to Watch

Players and teams at, or approaching, an inflection point.

SORTED BY WHEN THE DECISION HITS · UPDATED [DATE]
Orlando Magic logo ORL

Anthony Black

DECISION DUE
Rookie-scale extension Extension deadline · [DATE]

Extend now, or carry a $30.32M Cap hold into restricted Free Agency in 2027.

2026–27 $10.11M
2027–28 RFA CAP HOLD $30.32M
2028–29 —
Orlando Magic are over the 1st Apron by $10.17M in 2026–27.
THE CAP CRUNCH READ

[Your take on what happens next, in one or two lines.]

Brooklyn Nets logo BKN

Michael Porter Jr.

WATCHING
Expiring contract · UFA 2027 Trade deadline · [DATE] · Free Agency July 2027

$40.81M expiring deal: the biggest trade chip on the Nets’ books before he reaches Free Agency.

2026–27 $40.81M
2027–28 UFA CAP HOLD $48.97M
2028–29 —
Brooklyn Nets are $4.90M under the Cap in 2026–27.
THE CAP CRUNCH READ

[Your take on what happens next, in one or two lines.]

Toronto Raptors logo TOR

RJ Barrett

WATCHING
Expiring contract · UFA 2027 Trade deadline · [DATE] · Free Agency July 2027

$29.62M expiring deal on a team sitting just over the Tax line.

2026–27 $29.62M
2027–28 UFA CAP HOLD $44.42M
2028–29 —
Toronto Raptors are over the Tax by $0.76M in 2026–27.
THE CAP CRUNCH READ

[Your take on what happens next, in one or two lines.]

New Orleans Pelicans logo NOP

Zion Williamson

WATCHING
Partially guaranteed 2027–28 Trade deadline · [DATE] · Guarantee date · [DATE] 2027

Only part of his $44.89M for 2027–28 is guaranteed, so the deal can almost be seen as an expiring contract.

2026–27 $42.17M
2027–28 PARTIAL GTD $44.89M
2028–29 UFA CAP HOLD $51.42M
New Orleans Pelicans are over the Cap, $6.35M under the Tax in 2026–27.
THE CAP CRUNCH READ

[Your take on what happens next, in one or two lines.]

Atlanta Hawks logo ATL

Atlanta Hawks

WATCHING
$66M in expiring salary Trade deadline · [DATE] · Free Agency July 2027

McCollum, Dort and Landale expire, and Finney-Smith’s $13.34M for 2027–28 is non-guaranteed: $66.06M that can come off the books or be traded.

C.J. MCCOLLUM · UFA 2027 $21.00M
LUGUENTZ DORT · UFA 2027 $17.72M
JOCK LANDALE · UFA 2027 $14.00M
DORIAN FINNEY-SMITH · NG 2027–28 $13.34M
The Hawks are over the Cap, $2.54M under the Tax in 2026–27.
THE CAP CRUNCH READ

[Your take on what happens next, in one or two lines.]

Washington Wizards logo WAS

Anthony Davis

WATCHING
Player option 2027–28 Option decision · [DATE] 2027

$62.79M player option, the biggest number on Washington’s books.

2026–27 $58.46M
2027–28 PO $62.79M
2028–29 UFA CAP HOLD $67.76M
Washington Wizards are over the Cap, $8.41M under the Tax in 2026–27.
THE CAP CRUNCH READ

[Your take on what happens next, in one or two lines.]

Minnesota Timberwolves logo MIN

Rudy Gobert

WATCHING
Player option 2027–28 Option decision · [DATE] 2027

$38.00M player option on a team already over the 1st Apron.

2026–27 $36.50M
2027–28 PO $38.00M
2028–29 UFA CAP HOLD $57.00M
Minnesota Timberwolves are over the 1st Apron by $6.70M in 2026–27.
THE CAP CRUNCH READ

[Your take on what happens next, in one or two lines.]

Oklahoma City Thunder logo OKC

Oklahoma City Thunder

WATCHING
2nd Apron squeeze in 2027–28 2027–28 season · Wallace restricted Free Agency July 2027

The SGA, Holmgren and Jalen Williams deals reach $150.68M combined in 2027–28, projecting OKC $1.72M over the 2nd Apron before re-signing Cason Wallace.

SHAI GILGEOUS-ALEXANDER · 2027–28 $61.60M
CHET HOLMGREN · 2027–28 $44.54M
JALEN WILLIAMS · 2027–28 $44.54M
CASON WALLACE · RFA 2027 $22.26M
The Thunder are over the 1st Apron by $5.76M in 2026–27.
THE CAP CRUNCH READ

[Your take on what happens next, in one or two lines.]

Oklahoma City Thunder logo OKC

Ajay Mitchell

WATCHING
Team option 2027–28 Option decision · [DATE] 2027

$2.85M team option ahead of unrestricted Free Agency in 2028, on a team over the 1st Apron.

2026–27 $2.85M
2027–28 TO $2.85M
2028–29 UFA CAP HOLD $5.42M
Oklahoma City Thunder are over the 1st Apron by $5.76M in 2026–27.
THE CAP CRUNCH READ

[Your take on what happens next, in one or two lines.]